Factcheck: Is it true that the West is interested in escalating the conflict with Russia?

Factcheck

On September 13, 2024, on the SB TV YouTube channel, Vadim Gigin, Director General of the National Library of Belarus, stated:

Russia may use nuclear weapons. Who needs it? They staged the Kursk adventure. The Kiev regime, no matter what they say, is still supported by the West. They staged this Kursk adventure. And Western diplomats and politicians in many capitals ran happily. Look, Russia, you see, did not launch a nuclear strike. So what do you want it to do? So you are deliberately provoking Russia to take such steps? Why? The answer is clear, because you need a war in your political interests. An escalation of this war. So, our task is to prevent this escalation. If we say that the West is our enemy, and it wants escalation, we should not follow its scenario, we should break its scenario. And in this regard, the peace agenda of Alexander Lukashenko is not just a tribute to ideology or the desire to live in peace, although this is also primarily a political calculation.

Our verdict based on the analysis:

Verdict: Incorrect


Reasons:

  • The thesis or statement is completely false: information from several sources or the opinions of several experts in a particular field contradict it.
  • Cause and effect relationships and connections clearly do not exist as claimed.
  • The event occurred in material respects differently than stated.


Factcheck rating scale

Full video:

Let’s perform an analysis disinformation narratives and semantic analysis

Narrative Analysis
Risk Level: High
confrontation with the West

The narrative that the West is provoking Russia to use nuclear weapons to achieve its political goals.

appeal to fear

shifting blame

creating an image of the enemy

Confidence: 85%
peace agenda as a political calculation

Presenting Lukashenko’s peace agenda as a strategic move against Western escalation of the conflict.

rationalization

rethinking

creating a false choice

Confidence: 75%
Overall Assessment

The video uses manipulative techniques to create an image of the West as an aggressor, which can contribute to the escalation of tensions and misinformation among the audience.

Emotional Analysis
Main Topics

nuclear weapons

political escalation

peace agenda

Russia-West relations

Emotional analysis
Predominant tone:
negative
0

-0.7

Key emotions:

anger

paranoia

optimism

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