Fact check: Polish measures on the border with Belarus - an effective policy or damage to its own economy?

Factcheck

On July 9, 2024, a report was released on the YouTube channel of the BelTA news agency with the following content:

The performance is over; what have the border games turned into for Poland? In recent weeks, Poland has initiated an intriguing series of maneuvers. On June 13, the Poles established a buffer zone along the border with Belarus. A week later, Polish President Andrzej Duda traveled to China to discuss, among other things, the situation with migrants at the Polish-Belarusian border. Simultaneously, the Polish Foreign Ministry announced the possibility of closing all border crossings with Belarus. Finally, just last week, right before the SCO summit featuring the leaders of Belarus and China, Warsaw blocked rail traffic at the customs terminal in Małaszewicze, which is referred to as the “Chinese gateway to Europe.” However, while setting traps for others, the Polish authorities ended up caught in them themselves. Warsaw did not achieve its goals. Instead, it dealt a blow to both the country’s tourism industry and its transit sector. As always, the burden of reckless decisions will fall on the shoulders of ordinary Poles. But they are used to it.

Our verdict based on the conducted analyses:

Verdict: Incorrect

Reasons:

  • The thesis or statement is completely false: information from multiple sources or opinions from several experts in a specific field contradict it.
  • Causal relationships and connections clearly do not exist, as claimed.
  • When quoting, significant parts are omitted, rearranged, altered, or incorrectly translated from a foreign language, resulting in a fundamental change in the meaning of what was said.
  • The event occurred in significant aspects differently than stated.


Rating scale for evaluation

“Full video:”Let’s conduct an analysis of disinformation narratives and a semantic analysis of the entire plot.

Analysis of Narratives
Risk level: high
Criticism of the Polish authorities

The video criticizes the actions of the Polish authorities in the context of establishing a buffer zone on the border with Belarus and their impact on the tourism industry.

Emotional coloring
Rhetorical devices
Manipulation of facts
Confidence: 85%
The complexities of the migration crisis

The discussion of the migration crisis and its consequences for Poland, including humanitarian aspects and human rights.

Working with sources
Hidden messages
Psychological mechanisms
Confidence: 80%
Economic consequences

Analysis of the economic consequences of establishing a buffer zone and blocking the border for the Polish economy.

Structure of Argumentation
The reliability of information
Emotional coloring
Confidence: 75%
The Influence of China

Discussion of Poland’s attempts to use China to exert pressure on Belarus and the consequences of these actions.

Manipulation of facts
Rhetorical devices
Hidden messages
Confidence: 70%
Overall assessment

The video contains a significant amount of manipulative techniques and emotionally charged statements, which may lead to misinformation and a distorted perception of the situation in Poland and at the border with Belarus.

Emotional analysis
Main themes
introduction of a buffer zone
humanitarian aspects of the migration crisis
border games of Poland
“Influence on the tourism industry”
The relationship between Poland and China.
Emotional analysis
Dominant tone:
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Key emotions:

“Alarm”
“Disappointment”
“Discontent”
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