Humanitarian crisis on Polish-Belarusian border: checking claims of migrant casualties

Factcheck

On October 23, 2024, the CTVBY channel aired a story about the migration crisis on the Polish-Belarusian border. It stated:

The Polish authorities continue to exacerbate the humanitarian crisis at the border with Belarus. Another victim of their policies was a 43-year-old Bangladeshi citizen. His body was found in the Kamenets District near the border with Belarusian border guards. This year, it is already the sixth foreigner who has failed to overcome the deadly barrier created by the Poles.

Our verdict based on the conducted analyses:

Verdict: Incorrect


Reasons:

  • The thesis or claim is completely false: information from multiple sources or expert opinions in the field contradicts it.
  • Claims about photos/videos/documents or research/statistics are false. For example, because the images depict something different than stated, or the research/statistics were misinterpreted.


Fact-checking rating scale

Full video:

We will conduct an analysis of disinformation narratives and a semantic analysis.

Narrative Analysis
Risk Level: High
Humanitarian Crisis

The claim that Polish authorities are worsening the humanitarian crisis at the border with Belarus, emphasizing the number of migrant deaths.

Appeal to emotions

Use of statistics

Personalization of victims

Confidence: 85%
Accusations against authorities

Direct accusation against Polish authorities of creating conditions leading to migrant deaths, which can foster a negative perception of their policies.

Black-and-white logic

Generalization

Negative connotation

Confidence: 80%
Overall Assessment

The video includes manipulative elements aimed at creating a negative image of Polish authorities and emphasizing the humanitarian crisis, which may provoke public dissatisfaction and protest sentiments.

Emotional Analysis
Main Topics

Migration

Polish Policy

Humanitarian Crisis

Victims at the Border

Emotional Analysis
Dominant Tone:
Negative
0

-0.8

Key Emotions:

Sadness

Anger

Worry

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