Factcheck: Calls for Germany to Prepare for War with Russia – Analysis of the Military Leader’s Words and Their Context

Factcheck

On August 11, 2024, a segment aired on the Belarusian television channel CTVBY that garnered over a million views:

In Germany, there have been statements about the need to prepare for an open military conflict with Russia, which could allegedly occur within the next five years. The media is spreading the words of the commander of the German armed forces. According to him, Moscow will plunge Europe into chaos. The German officer urged NATO allies to seriously consider transitioning their economies to a wartime footing in order to decisively counter the imagined aggression from the East. He noted that the constant increase of military presence on the eastern borders of the Alliance only escalates tensions in the region and does not ensure security in any way.

Our verdict based on the conducted analyses is:

Verdict: Incorrect

Reasons:

  • The thesis or statement is completely false: information from multiple sources or opinions from several experts in a specific field contradict it.
  • Causal relationships and connections clearly do not exist, as claimed.
  • When quoting, significant parts are omitted, rearranged, altered, or incorrectly translated from a foreign language, resulting in a fundamental change in the meaning of what was said.
  • The event occurred in significant aspects differently than stated.


Rating scale for evaluation

Full video:Let’s conduct an analysis of disinformation narratives and a semantic analysis.

Analysis of Narratives
Risk level: high
threat of war

The statement about the necessity of preparing for war with Russia is based on the words of the commander of the German armed forces.

“Appeal to fear”
“Hyperbola”
“Summary”
Confidence: 85%
accusation of aggression

The portrayal of Russia as a source of chaos and a threat to Europe underscores the necessity of military preparedness.

“Demonization”
the creation of an enemy image
Confidence: 80%
“Call to action”

A call to NATO allies to consider shifting their economies to a wartime footing.

direct appeal
“Appeal to Unity”
Confidence: 75%
Overall assessment

The video creates an atmosphere of fear and tension, emphasizing the need for military preparedness against Russia. The manipulative techniques employed may contribute to the escalation of conflict and the formation of a negative image of Russia in public consciousness.

Emotional analysis
Main themes
preparation for war
conflict with Russia
“Security in Europe”
NATO military presence
Emotional analysis
Dominant tone:
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Key emotions:

The translation of “напряженность” to English is “tension.”
“Anxiety”
“Alarm”
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